We cashed yesterday attacking a pitcher in this situation, saying we expected Triston McKenzie to pitch at least five innings with the Guardians playing three straight extra-innings games. He went seven, but the game went to extras again. So we're back recommending to take Allen to pitch into the sixth, even at plus odds. He's thrown 90-plus pitches in three straight starts and pitched into the sixth in three of his last five starts, so in normal circumstances I might say this number is still too skewed to the Under but not by as much as I am in this situation with Cleveland playing four straight extra-innings games.

Indicative of Houston's pitching issues (mostly injury-related) this season is the presence in the rotation of Spencer Arrighetti, who normally would be in AAA but instead starting games for the Astros and getting pummeled, as his 10.97 ERA and 2.34 WHIP in three starts (all Houston losses) suggests. Logan Allen has had a bit of a bumpy start on the mound for Cleveland, but not like Arrighetti's troubles, and a look at the AL standings might have you thinking the wrong team is favored tonight at Minute Maid. Play Cleveland on Money Line